CONFERENCE PROGRAM

 

Time

Monday 30 November 2015

 

8:15am – 12:30pm

Conference Registration – Hadley’s Orient Hotel

 

9:00

Welcome Ceremony
Scott Foster, Chair LOC
Ross Darnell, President IBS-AR
John Hinde, President IBS
[pdf]

 

 

General Statistics

Room: John Webb

Chair: Chris Triggs

Health

Room: George Cartwright

Chair: Brenton Clarke

 

9:20

John Carlin - Misplaced confidence in confidence intervals [pdf]

Sophie Zaloumis - Application of a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo approach for modelling the dynamics of Plasmodium falciparum parasitaemia in severe malaria patients [pdf]

 

9:40

Alan Welsh - Evaluating Frequentist Model Averaged Confidence Intervals [pdf]

Jake Olivier - Relative Effect Sizes for Measures of Risk [pdf]

 

10:00

Ruth Butler – “Myths” in presenting statistical results (or: statistical bees I have in my bonnet…..) [pdf]

Rory Wolfe

Health effects of disasters [pdf]

 

10:20

Morning tea (Leadlight Room)

 

 

Invited talks in John Webb Room (Chair: David Baird)

 

10:50

John Hinde - A Medley of Mixtures [pdf]

 

11:40

Rosemary Bailey - The design key in single and multi-phase experiments [pdf]

 

12:30

Lunch (Leadlight Room)

 

 

Mixture Models
Roome: John Webb

Chair: Samuel Mueller

Design/Estimation
Room: George Cartwright

Chair: Rory Wolfe

 

1:30

Brenton Clarke - A Comparison of the L2 Minimum Distance Estimator and the EM-Algorithm when Fitting k-Component Univariate Normal Mixtures

Graham Hepworth - Design and analysis of simulation experiments [pdf]

 

1:50

Shirley Pledger - The fourth corner problem: niche overlap using mixtures [pdf]

Tibor Schuster - Efficient recruitment strategies in randomised controlled trials with continuous outcomes [pdf]

 

2:10

M.A.C.S.S. Fernando - Limitations of Hierarchical and Mixture Model Comparisons [pptx]

Jeff Wood - How many letters are there in the alphabet? [pdf]

 

2:30

Firouzeh Noghrehchi - Multiple imputation as a stochastic EM approximation to maximum likelihood [pdf]

Jakub Stoklosa - On quadratic logistic regression models when predictor variables are subject to measurement error [pdf]

 

2:50

Afternoon  tea (Leadlight Room)

 

SSAI Sponsored Session on

Multiple Imputation

Room: John Webb

Chair: Jake Olivier

Mixed Models I

Room: George Cartwright

Chair: Mario D'Antuono

3:20

Katherine Lee - Multiple imputation: a miracle cure for missing data? [pptx]

Lauren Borg (presented by Alison Smith) - On spatial model selection for the analysis of field experiments with an application to plant improvement programs

3:40

Nicole Cocks (presented by Brian Cullis) - Improving the Computational Efficiency of Model-Based Design with an Application to the Design of Multiphase Experiments

4:00

Julie Simpson - Sensitivity analysis within the multiple imputation framework: The pattern-mixture method [pdf]

Chong You - A study of one and two stage analyses for genomic prediction of yield in wheat [pdf]

4:20

Cattram Nguyen - Diagnostic methods for checking multiple imputation models [pptx]

Daniel Tolhurst - Improving the accuracy of genetic predictions for expensive multi-phase traits [pdf]

4:40

Margarita Moreno-Betancur - Multiple imputation and sensitivity analysis for incomplete longitudinal data departing from the missing at random assumption [pdf]

Emi Tanaka - A study of correlated marker effects for dense linkage map in QTL analysis in wheat [pdf]

Poster Presentations (John Webb Room)

P1

Ken Beath – Robust analysis of Poisson and binary data using a mixture model approach [pdf]

P2

Lindy Guo – How do we make kiwifruit nicer? [pdf]

P3

Mario D'Antuono – The colourful life of a biometrician [pdf]

P4

Ross Darnell – Applying the factor analytic mixed model to meta-analyses [pdf]

P5

Peter Jackson – Maximising the benefits of a plant breeding database [pdf]

P6

Anna Norberg – How well do different statistical frameworks predict species- and community-level patterns? [pdf]

P7

Barbara Kachigunda – Evaluation of sampling methodology for imported plant products and preservation of pest area freedoms [pdf]

P8

Margarita Moreno-Betancur – Survival analysis with multiple causes of death: reconsidering the competing risks model

P9

Terry Cohen – Methods for estimating trends in sea level [pptx]

 


 

 

Time

Tuesday 1 December 2015

 

Models

Room: John Webb

Chair: Alan Welsh

Genetics

Room: George Cartwright

Chair: Thomas Lumley

9:00

Russell Millar - WIC and importance sampling approximations to cross-validation for models with observation-level latent variables  [pdf]

Louise McMillan - Visualizing Population Genetics [pdf]

9:20

Garth Tarr - Interactive and data adaptive model selection with mplot [pdf]

Daisy Shepherd - Sliding Through Phylogenetics [pdf]

9:40

Alan Huang - Vector regression without specifying marginal or association structures [pdf]

Teresa Neeman - New Models of Molecular Evolution [pptx]

10:00

Chanatda Somchit - P-Spline Vector Generalized Additive Model and Its Application [pdf]

Wei Zhang - Stationary distribution of the linkage disequilibrium coefficient r2  [pdf]

10:20

Morning tea (Leadlight Room)

 

Invited talks in John Web Room (Chair: Kaye Basford)

10:50

Thomas Lumley - Family-based genetic association modelling in a multistage sample [pdf]

11:40

Richard Emsley  - Stratified medicine: the essential role of mechanisms evaluation [pptx]

 


 

Time

Wednesday 2 December 2015

 

Multispecies analysis

Room: John Webb

Chair: Steve Candy

Agricultural Modelling

Room: George Cartwright

Chair: Alison Smith

9:00

Daniel Fernandez - Categorising Ecological Community Count Data [pdf]

Alison Kelly - Selection of genotypes for resistance and tolerance to pathogens: a multivariate statistical analysis of yield and disease response. [pdf]

9:20

Nicole Hill - Modelling the distribution of sub-Antarctic and Antarctic demersal fish communities: An application of new community –modelling method [pptx]

M. Gabriela Borgognone - Including molecular marker information in the analysis of multi-environment trial data helps differentiate superior genotypes from promising parents: a wheat example [pdf]

9:40

Loïc Thibaut - Inference for multivariate abundance data using generalised mixed effects models and the PIT-trap [pptx]

Ky L Mathews - Selecting environment covariates to explain GxE: A comparison of cyclic forward regression and subset regression approaches. [pdf]

10:00

Gordana Popovic - Approximate likelihood ratio test for multivariate abundance data [pdf]

Martin Upsdell - Fitting quadratic peaks to fluorescence data to identify chemical compounds [pptx]

10:20

Morning tea (Leadlight Room)

 

Invited talks in John Webb Room (Chair: Scott Foster)

10:50

Jay Ver Hoef - Estimating Abundance from Counts in Large Data Sets of Irregularly Spaced Plots using Spatial Basis Functions [pdf]

11:40

Otso Ovaskainen - Analyzing community data with joint species distribution models: abundance, traits, phylogeny, co-occurrence and spatio-temporal structures [pptx]

12:30

Lunch (Leadlight Room)

 

Spatial Point Processes

Room: John Webb
Chair: David Warton

Genomics

Room: Geroge Cartwright
Chair: Kathy Ruggiero

1:30

Ian Renner - Point process models for presence-only analysis [pdf]

Kim-Anh Le Cao - A multivariate approach for multiple ‘omics data integration and biomarker discovery [pdf]

1:50

Samantha Peel - Assessing a species distribution model’s performance for sparse and patchy presence data. [pptx]

Anne Bernard - Sparse Multiple Correspondence analysis for selection of Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms [pdf]

2:10

Wesley Brooks - Spatial confounding may cause bias in regression models for presence-only data [pdf]

Florian Rohart - Integrative meta analyses to combine transcriptomics studies [pdf]

2:30

Ramethaa Pirathiban - Eliciting and encoding expert knowledge on variable selection into classical or Bayesian species distribution models [pdf]

Conrad Burden - Estimation of the amplicon methylation pattern distribution from bisulphite sequencing data [pdf]

2:50

Afternoon  tea (Leadlight Room)

 

Ecology – Models

Room: John Web

Chair: Warren Müller

Longitudinal Models
Room: George Cartwright

Chair: Malcolm Hudson

3:20

Natalie Kelly - Humpback whales in the Great Barrier Reef: model-based inferences on distribution and abundance [pptx]

Alastair Scott - Analysing longitudinal data with outcome-dependent sampling [pdf]

3:40

Wen-Hsi Yang - Mapping Soil Regolith Depth in Large and Censored Spatial Datasets Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models [pdf]

Sam Brilleman - Joint longitudinal and survival models for investigating the association between natural disasters and disability whilst accounting for non-random dropout due to death [pdf]

4:00

Melissa Dobbie - Estimating relative species abundance from partially-observed data [pptx]

Pauline Ding - Bootstrap influence on the variance components in the longitudinal data with multiple source of variation [pptx]

4:20

Jan Jansen - The influence of surface productivity on seafloor food-availability and biodiversity distributions on the George V shelf, East Antarctica [pdf]

Liliana Orellana - A novel methodology for inhomogeneity identification in climate time series [pptx]

4:40

Emma Lawrence - An experimental design for testing Bycatch Reduction and Turtle Excluder Devices in the PNG Prawn Trawl Fishery [pptx]

Jessica Kasza - Assessing the impact of unmeasured confounding: confounding functions for causal inference [pdf]

 


 

Time

Thursday 3 December 2015

 

Mixed Models 2

Room: John Webb

Chair: Brian Cullis

Survival Analysis

Room: George Cartwright

Chair: John Carlin

9:00

Clayton Forknall - Development of a bivariate linear mixed model to describe yield response due to disease. [pdf]

Valérie Garès - Estimating the correlation between competing risks [pdf]

9:20

Francis Hui - Joint Effects Selection in Mixed Models using CREPE [pdf]

Malcolm Hudson - Factors affecting treatment recurrence and death: a case study with longitudinal hospital retreatment records [pdf]

9:40

Vanessa Cave - Testing significance of random terms in a linear mixed model [pptx]

Kasun Rathnayake - Penalized likelihood parameter estimation for additive hazard model using method of multipliers [pdf]

10:00

Hwan-Jin Yoon - Fitting linear mixed models under misspecification [pdf]

Maheswaran Rohan - Computing Standard Error for Half-life of Rotenone [pptx]

10:20

Morning tea (Leadlight Room)

 

Invited talks in John Webb Room (Chair: Ross Darnell)

10:50

David Warton - The case of the missing model: the modernisation of multivariate analysis in ecology [pptx]

11:40

Adrian Bowman- Visualising the environment: data, models and graphics [NA - interactive]